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The Federal Reserve's expected to cut interest rates today, but next month's the real question. Will the central bank follow with a second rate cut on October 30? If you asked CME's FedWatch tool in mid-August, odds were at least two-thirds in favor. But they've...
Stocks remain under pressure as the trade war against China worsens. The S&P 500 was positive for most of last week, but then came a quick succession of events on Friday morning. First, Beijing imposed tariffs on an additional $75 billion of U.S. products....
So much for a quiet Friday in August. The drama started early today when China slapped tariffs on $75 billion of U.S. goods. S&P 500 futures (@ES) fell 25 points. About 2-1/2 hours later President Donald Trump hinted in a tweet that he viewed Chinese leader Xi...
The big story today is that weak economic numbers overseas caused the yield curve to invert. That means the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds fell below the two-year rate. Stocks, especially financials, are crashing as a result. The "inverted curve" is a potentially big...
Some big options traders seem to think the pain may continue in emerging markets. Two large strategies were detected today in the MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM), which is heavily concentrated in China and East Asia. One will profit from the fund dropping further,...
Brazilian markets are running higher, and yesterday an investor placed a big vote of confidence in the nation's most important stock. A large put sale occurred in Petrobras (PBR) minutes after the opening bell. The transaction was unusually bullish, looking for the...
Brazil's soccer team isn't the only winner in the country this month. Its pro-business President is also nearing his first big victory, and the stock market's loving it. The iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) has risen 7 percent so far this month. That makes it the top...
"Bull markets climb a wall of worry." The old adage proved true again today as the S&P 500 breaks out to new highs. Investors ended last week fearing higher tariffs against China before the G20 Summit in Osaka. Then President Trump withdrew the threat after...
Stocks closed at new highs last week as the Federal Reserve offered hopes of a rate cut in July. The S&P 500 rose 2.2 percent between Friday, June 14, and Friday, June 21. The index closed 5 points above its May closing record with more than three-quarters of...