Construction Reclaiming Role in U.S. Economy, Years After Subprime Crash
David Russell
May 1, 2019
Construction, left for dead after the subprime crash, may be reclaiming its importance for the U.S. economy.
Today’s private-sector payrolls report from ADP showed the industry adding 49,000 jobs in April. That translated into a 0.66 percent increase overall — triple the broader total. It followed a string of increases going back more than two years.
Construction now accounts for 5.87 percent of U.S. employment, according to ADP. That’s the highest proportion since housing went into a free-fall in late 2008. Still, despite being less than 6 percent of the overall workforce, the industry has delivered more than 15 percent of this year’s new jobs.
Other reports have indicated a similar trend. The government’s monthly construction-spending report beat estimates by wide margins in January and February. Both months showed double-digit gains for highway construction. Remember, state and local government increase project funding after years of economic growth because that’s when their tax receipts are highest.
Companies associated with construction have also been rising. Homebuilders including Lennar (LEN) and D.R. Horton (DHI) have outperformed the S&P 500 in the last month. Ditto for suppliers like United Rentals (URI) and Vulcan Materials (VMC).
Construction’s rebound also seems to go hand-in-hand with accelerating wage gains lower in the pay scale. Did you know that Goldman Sachs published a report in March showing that the lower-half of workers are seeing income growth of more than 4 percent while the better-paid half are slowing to barely half that pace?
But, the data shows a rebound in the traditional construction industry. It seems to have implications for both companies and workers, so investors may want to watch it more closely again. After all, 2008 was more than a decade ago!
David Russell is Global Head of Market Strategy at TradeStation. Drawing on nearly two decades of experience as a financial journalist and analyst, his background includes equities, emerging markets, fixed-income and derivatives. He previously worked at Bloomberg News, CNBC and E*TRADE Financial.
Russell systematically reviews countless global financial headlines and indicators in search of broad tradable trends that present opportunities repeatedly over time. Customers can expect him to keep them appraised of sector leadership, relative strength and the big stories – especially those overlooked by other commentators. He’s also a big fan of generating leverage with options to limit capital at risk.
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