The bears may have to wait before they get their pullback. That’s how earnings season has shaped up so far.
Big technology companies like Facebook (FB) and Microsoft (MSFT) surged higher after beating estimates. Several major industrials and notable consumer stocks gained as well.
As usual, tech’s the main story. FB not only reported earnings and revenue above estimates. Its numbers also showed signs of advertisers migrating from the old news feed to the new Stories format. The 8 percent growth in monthly active users was another positive, suggesting traffic has stabilized after last year’s privacy scandals.
MSFT was just pure growth — especially in its key Azure division. Analysts praised its strong profit margins and predicted more opportunities in the future as enterprises upgrade Windows and Server. That pushed MSFT’s market capitalization past $1 trillion for the first time ever.
Twitter, PayPal, eBay & More
Twitter (TWTR) is a lot smaller than FB, but its quarter also showed a rebound in the social-media space. “Monetizable” active users rose 11 percent, while improved technology resulted in an even-quicker 18 percent growth in revenue. Have the worst of the user losses passed for this company after it purged fake accounts?
PayPal (PYPL) is also riding a wave of optimism toward its new products. In this case, gains for the Venmo mobile-payments app caused investors to look past underwhelming revenue growth. It was the second straight quarter that the electronics-payment company shrugged off mediocre backward-looking results in hope of future growth.
Speaking of backward-looking, remember eBay (EBAY)? The online auction company hasn’t been on many people’s radar for years, but this week it beat estimates across the board and raised guidance. That could be a sign that its website changes and promotional listings are starting to drive sales.
Put them all together, and you may have several kinds of transformation stories playing out at the same time. Under Satya Nadella, MSFT is conquering the cloud it feared under Steve Ballmer. New advertising products are gaining traction at FB and TWTR. PYPL is going mobile with Venmo and now EBAY’s trying to reinvent itself. Will internal innovation, rather than sheer volume growth, become the new story for tech?
Industrials Mostly Good
Several major industrial stocks reported. Some rallied on strong results, others drifted and one big name crashed.
Honeywell (HON), United Technologies (UTX) and Lockheed Martin (LMT) all beat across the board and issued strong guidance. Aerospace remains a major driver. Investors are also focused on UTX’s plans to split into three companies earlier next year.
But then you have 3M (MMM), whose earnings, revenue, outlook and orders were downright terrible. Weakness in the electronics, adhesives, industrial and Chinese markets all weighed. It was the second big miss in the last three quarters, resulting in the biggest one-day stock decline in a generation.
Two other major industrials, Caterpillar (CAT) and Boeing (BA), drifted after their results. Both have a lot of moving pieces going on. CAT has managed to keep revenue strong but is getting squeezed by higher costs. BA remains in limbo from the 737 MAX groundings.
Big Consumer Names Report
Several well-known consumer companies also reported. The big ones, Coca-Cola (KO) and Procter & Gamble (PG), both beat estimates. KO pulled back after an initial rally, while PG declined on margin and currency worries. Investors may fear more foreign-exchange pressures in these giant multinationals if the U.S. dollar keeps running.
Hershey (HSY), however, ripped to a new all-time high as growth in Skinny Pop and Pirate Booty offsets candy weakness. Did you know this iconic chocolatier is turning into a low-carb snack company? Kimberly-Clark (KMB) also rallied after higher diaper prices lifted margins.
Ditto for Hasbro (HAS), whose toy sales received a boost from the Bumblebee film last Christmas.
A major decliner in the consumer space, however, was Altria (MO). The once-steady-eddy tobacco stock had its biggest drop in almost two years as cigarette volumes continued to drop. Will the momentum bears pile in as its 200-day day moving average becomes resistance?
More Good News
Some other lower-profile companies also pushed higher on their results. Here are a few:
Comcast (CMCSA): The cable-and-media giant missed on revenue, but investors remain happy with cash-cow high-speed Internet division.
Lam Research (LRCX): The semiconductor-equipment company beat estimates across the board and issued strong guidance.
Norfolk Southern (NSC): The railroad operator benefited from higher shipping rates.
Cadence Design (CDNS): Already up more than 100 percent in the last year, the provider of chip-design software keeps beating estimates.
ServiceNow (NOW): A “mini-me” of Salesforce.com (CRM). Earnings, revenue, guidance and bookings all beat.
TE Connectivity (TEL): The maker of electronic components like sensors and connectors rallied as management finds new customers outside its traditional automobile market.
Other Decliners
Here are some other noteworthy stocks that fell after issuing their results:
Xilinx (XLNX): The chip stock beat estimates, but got hammered after Goldman Sachs (GS) told investors to “sell the news.” XLNX had been a top-performer before the call.
Tesla (TSLA): Elon Musk’s electric-car maker keeps losing traction. Shipments of the Model 3 missed estimates and its quarterly loss was much wider than feared.
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG): Once the robotic-surgery stock could do no wrong. Last quarter wasn’t one of those times.
United Parcel Service (UPS): The shipping giant tried to blame a poor quarter on bad weather, but analysts are also concerned about increased competition.
AT&T (T): Weakness in the key wireless business drove the telecom back under its 50- and 200-day moving averages.
David Russell is Global Head of Market Strategy at TradeStation. Drawing on nearly two decades of experience as a financial journalist and analyst, his background includes equities, emerging markets, fixed-income and derivatives. He previously worked at Bloomberg News, CNBC and E*TRADE Financial.
Russell systematically reviews countless global financial headlines and indicators in search of broad tradable trends that present opportunities repeatedly over time. Customers can expect him to keep them appraised of sector leadership, relative strength and the big stories – especially those overlooked by other commentators. He’s also a big fan of generating leverage with options to limit capital at risk.
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